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My first
Harvard College students' conference:
This
year 2006, academics from around the
world came together for a 3-days conference in
Singapore during the weekend from 17th up to 19th of August
before Mumbai was the venue for the Business Forum one week
later on, where the academics discussed with
professionals about Asian-related topics. A
stay in the City of Gold, formerly known as Bombay, was worth
about everything.
I
attended the Business Forum in Mumbai
only. My journey began on the 22nd of August having headed
from Munich via Frankfurt to Mumbai. Upon my arrival at the Chatrapati
Shivaji Mumbai International Airport I was surprised to see old friends
while I have gone through the exit gate. Eric and Arke, father and son
of my very own beloved Indian family, were awaiting me for about an
hour. The following 2 days then, I stayed in Bandra where I have been
already nicely welcomed about 3 years ago when I came along
with my girl Cigdem to India the first time. On Thursday evening, I
took a rikshaw ride back to the Airport in order to pick up 2
good old friends, Waldemar and his brother André, whom I was
supposed to chill together with at Thailand's scenic beaches.
We put up at the Grand Hyatt where we ckecked into an upgraded club
room - very nice room! Now that we made ourselves comfortable, we
looked forward the upcoming days scheduled with plenty of auspicious
events - the Harvard College Asian Business Forum as well as the annual
general meeting of the Indo-German chamber of commerce.
Enclosed
by, the pictures give you
some brief impressions of what we experienced:
The
next Highlight is coming up soon. Manhattan is the venue for the first
China-India Development & Relations Symposium. What are your
plans
over Eastern?
Dear
fellows
from
HPAIR as well as SPAIR, please check the following about what I
conducted so far about areas of development or international relations
over which China and India will potentially cooperate or conflict in
the future:
Potential conflicts that might arise from
unilaterally fostering relationships with countries that are of
strategic
meaning for both countries – an analogy to the fears of
Russia resulting from
the EU enlargement process
Over the recent decade, India and China
have written an incredible story of success in terms of economic
prosperity,
foreign direct investments, the level of education and the gradual
transition
from low-cost manufacturing economies to those ones distinguished by
enormous
R&D investment figures aiming at becoming knowledge based and
innovation
driven economies. Since the 1990’s, when Japanese car
manufacturers began also
to sell large, powerful, and fancy cars in the U.S. market as did the
U.S Big
Three exclusively before, it became eminently obvious that the
Ricardian logic
about “comparative advantages”, determining which
countries are doing better in
producing a particular bunch of products over others with respect to
the terms
of trade, does not longer hold.
This
current path of development, these two
nations walk on, is broken as ground by another two nations, Russia and
Brazil,
too. These four nations are called the BRIC states, using the mnemonic
used in
a famous Goldman Sachs thesis published in 2003. Apart from Brazil,
whose role
I exclude in my essay, I just slightly want to stress the role Russian
plays
for the China-India relationship. Furthermore, I want to point out why
some Eurasian
organizations
like the Shanghai
Cooperation Organization (SCO) and the 10 ASEAN countries
for instance
have a
potential impact as to turn the scale of the relationship between China
and
India.
Nowadays,
the current state of development has
caused China and India to step into an new era where they can not
afford any
longer to neglect each other. As already discussed during the last
HPAIR
Business Forum in Mumbai in August 2006, it is certainly cliché to
term China and India as
the international market's future dominant figures, however given their
relatively enormous populations, supremacy in the manufacturing, IT and now
R&D sectors,
and dangerously populated and
well-furnished militaries, China and India are certainly posed to
command
significant global attention. Therefore, they are urged to take up
responsibility that is especially called for by many questions seeking
to
respond to whether a growth in economic prosperity in these countries
will lead
to a safer or more unstable Asia. Internally, each country has its own
struggles to surpass before reaching market ascendancy, from rampant
rural
poverty and illiteracy, to energy requirements and environmental
degradation
(“China and India Emphasize Cooperation” by Amelia
Gentleman, 21.11.06 – New
York Times).
A
few weeks ago on
November the 21st
this year, the Chinese President Hu Jintao came for a visit to India,
the first
time by a Chinese president to India in 10 years. At the start of this
visit
that did not promise any substantive new agreements, President Hu
Jintao and
his Indian host, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, unveiled a 10-point
plan that
aims to double bilateral trade to $40 billion by 2010. In a joint
statement,
they declared that the simultaneous development of India and China will
have a
positive influence on the future international system in the emerging
multi-polar global order. The outcome of this state visit reveals that
the
polictical dialogue between these two countries reached a level where
the
emphasis on collaboration has been mutually recognized even though
there was no
indication of coming forth in any issues of conflicts like the border
disputes
for instance. India shares with China a common border line of 3,380 km.
The
tense nature of dialogues between India and China was exposed once
again just
very recently when China reiterated Beijing’s claim to the
north-eastern state
of Arunachal Pradesh. It seems that the broader meaning of cooperation
has been
stripped down to the narrow sense of collaboration that is reflected by
a
pragmatic political program tackling only those sort of issues that are
not
loaded with problems. The will to cooperate in the field of civilian
nuclear
energy was also affirmed. By pledging this, especially China reponds to
the activities
of
Russia that is already building two 1,000-megawatt nuclear power
reactors in
Kudankulam in Tamil Nadu. And here Russia comes into play - as well as,
though
to a lesser extent, the other countries belonging to some Eurasian
organizations I mentioned above. In December 2002, Russian
President Vladimir Putin made
an extraordinary diplomatic 5-days trip to China, and from there,
directly to
India. While meeting representatives as well as students from China,
Putin
described the international importance of Russian-Chinese economic
projects
that were not only tangibly beneficial for both sides but they modify
the whole
configuration of the economic infrastructure of Eurasia. A few days
later in
New Delhi, Putin told that the development of a transport corridor
extending
from India, via Iran, into Russia is the main strategic objective of
the
Russia-India partnership.
What
I carried out so far lays the ground to understand how potential
conflicts migth arise despite the underlying aim to cooperate. China
and India
accustomed themselves to the fact that they were globally recognized as
upcoming thriving economies with a huge market where many other
nations,
notably these nations incorporated into those organizations mentioned
above,
try to get a stake in. Just during the past few years, India and China
have
begun to intensify their political dialogue as a consequence to the
perception
that their resources can be capatilized even far beyond the current
level that
is already seen enormous. But unilaterally forming strategic alliances
in terms
of securing energy requirements or arranging free trade agreements for
instance
with other countries excluding the counterpart can create fears of
having been
passed over. Likewise Russia’s fears of loosing its regional
influence in the
context of the EU enlargement process, India and China will attentively
observe
each other’s effort spent on relationships with other nations
in order to avoid
that the sphere of influence does not dwindle.
Dear room mates from Munich,
Washington and Irvine, dear CIDRS fellows,
after all I now found the time
to download the picture I have taken from these few but exciting 4 days
in City. It's been again an amazing experience to get to know
people from HPAIR travelling the world. Hopefully I will meet some of
you again on this little tiny planet. In the following there is the
entire compilation of picture I took:
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